JD Vance got a warm reception in Iowa over the weekend, the standard early-state pilgrimage. But internal Republican polling reportedly shows what the public numbers already do: Vance's brand is downstream of Trump's, and Trump's approval is in historic-low territory amid the Iran conflict and $4.50 gas. There is no version of the 2028 GOP primary where the heir apparent isn't carrying the principal's baggage.
National average is $4.54 — closing in on the June 2022 record of $5.01 and an all-time seasonal high. New Marist polling: an overwhelming majority of Americans blame Trump directly, and 80% report the price is straining household budgets. Presidents don't actually control gas prices, but voters always blame the one in office. That's the deal he took.
Physical assaults against American Jews reached their highest level since 1979 last year, according to the latest data. Antisemitism is rising on the right and the left — from a president who dined with Holocaust deniers to progressive lawmakers who downplay the targeting of Jews on college campuses. Same standard for both. Name it. Cite it. Don't let either side off the hook.
Source: AxiosAntisemitism
✓ ReadCarousel · 7 slides2h ago
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Slide 1 of 7 · Hook
Six billionaires spent more than $100 million each to elect Trump in 2024. That's more than every Trump candidate committee combined. This isn't an accident. It's the system working exactly as the Supreme Court redesigned it.
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Slide 2 of 7 · Context
The case is Citizens United v. FEC (2010). Decided 5-4. The court ruled that corporations and unions could spend unlimited money on independent political expenditures because money is speech. Justice Kennedy wrote the majority. Justice Stevens, in dissent, called it a 'rejection of the common sense of the American people.'
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Slide 3 of 7 · The pattern
From the Gilded Age until the 1907 Tillman Act, corporate money owned American politics. From 1907 until 2010, we built a campaign-finance system that — imperfectly — kept the worst of it in check. Citizens United didn't invent the problem. It restored it.
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Slide 4 of 7 · Why it matters
Six donors with $100M each can now drown out every party committee, every union, every grassroots small-donor program. Polling consistently shows that 70-80% of Americans across both parties want this overturned. It hasn't been, because the people who benefit are the people with the power to fix it.
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Slide 5 of 7 · What to watch
Any candidate, in either party, who will publicly commit to (a) a constitutional amendment overturning Citizens United, (b) public financing of federal elections, and (c) lobbying reform with real teeth. There aren't many. The ones who do are worth tracking.
Slide 6 of 7 · Sources
New York Times — The Case That Enshrined Political Power for Billionaires — May 6, 2026
Citizens United v. FEC, 558 U.S. 310 (2010)
OpenSecrets — 2024 cycle billionaire spending data
Tillman Act of 1907
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Article I
American politics through the lens of the Constitution and the long memory.
Indiana state senators who blocked Trump's mid-cycle congressional redistricting effort lost their primaries Tuesday. The message to every elected Republican is unsubtle: the party is now an instrument of one man's will, and Article I autonomy — the legislature making its own choices — is grounds for removal. Redistricting was supposed to be the GOP's structural advantage. It's becoming a loyalty test instead.
Chedrick Greene won the Michigan 35th Senate District special election, handing Democrats a 20-18 majority in the state senate. Special elections are imperfect signals, but Democrats are running ahead of the 2024 baseline in the overwhelming majority of them this cycle. The pattern is consistent enough to take seriously six months out from November.
The Justice Department is closing its nearly two-year criminal investigation of Tennessee Rep. Andy Ogles. Per WTVF, the evidence will be returned or destroyed without FBI review. Whatever you think of Ogles, the precedent matters: investigations into members of Congress now resolve based on whose team you're on, not on what the evidence shows. That is not how an independent justice system works.
Source: WTVFRuleofLawDOJ
✓ ReadCarousel · 7 slides5h ago
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Slide 1 of 7 · Hook
On Tuesday, Indiana Republican primary voters defeated state senators whose only offense was refusing to redistrict the state's congressional map mid-cycle to add Trump-friendly seats. The senators wanted to follow normal procedure. That is now a primary-able offense.
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Slide 2 of 7 · Context
Trump backed primary challengers in eight Indiana state senate seats. He won most of them. The challengers' platform was, almost literally, 'we will redraw the map when the president asks us to.' The incumbents' position was 'the legislature decides, not the president.'
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Slide 3 of 7 · The pattern
The Constitution puts redistricting authority with state legislatures (Article I, Section 4). The reason the Founders did this was to keep the federal executive out of the business of choosing congressmen. Tuesday in Indiana was a clean inversion of that design. The president picked the legislators who will pick his congressmen.
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Slide 4 of 7 · Why it matters
This is what the consolidation of power inside a single faction looks like in practice. Not tanks in the streets. Just a state senator who voted the wrong way getting beaten in a primary, and the next state senator learning the lesson without anyone needing to spell it out. Article I doesn't enforce itself.
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Slide 5 of 7 · What to watch
How many of the new Indiana senators introduce mid-cycle redistricting bills in the next 90 days. Whether courts intervene. Whether other GOP-controlled state legislatures take the same path. Whether any congressional Republicans publicly object — and what happens to them when they do.
Slide 6 of 7 · Sources
Political Wire — Trump's Grip Still Holds — May 6, 2026
U.S. Constitution, Article I, Section 4 (Elections Clause)
Rucho v. Common Cause, 588 U.S. (2019)
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Article I
American politics through the lens of the Constitution and the long memory.
Per Rachel Bade, FDA Commissioner Marty Makary is the next senior official on the way out as Trump finishes his pre-midterm housecleaning. Makary is a Trump appointee. The criterion isn't competence or even ideology — it's personal loyalty under stress. Cabinet-level government has been replaced with a permanent audition for the principal's approval, and the agencies that protect public health are not exempt.
New Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos polling: 87% of Americans view negatively Trump's recent social media post depicting himself as Jesus. The number isn't surprising. The fact that it had to be measured is. We are eight years into a presidency where the single most consistent rule is that nothing is too far. That is the rule worth tracking.
The latest GOP immigration package contains $1 billion for Trump's East Wing renovation project. Republicans on the Hill are openly worried this turns the bill into an internal-party fight rather than a border-policy win. This is what Article I looks like when Congress treats the appropriations power as a personal favor budget instead of a constitutional duty.
The White House expects a response from Tehran within 48 hours on the agreement points to end the current war. This is the closest the parties have come to resolving the conflict since hostilities began. The off-ramp matters more than the framing it gets. We will judge this deal on what it does to the actual security architecture, not on whose side wins the press conference.